By Soren Petro
By Soren Petro
How to Win at Mizzou
We talked on Thursday about Kim Anderson needing to fence in Missouri talent. I pointed out that Mike Anderson had done a very good job of keeping most of the talent in state, but had not been able to keep the very best talent home.
Anderson lost recruiting battles for first round talents like Tyler Hansbrough, Alec Burks, and Bradley Beal. On Hansbrough and Beal he was just flat out beaten by UNC and Florida, but Burks hurts worse. He was not a top 50 recruit coming out of Grandview, the perfect type of player (Steve Moore, Marcus Denmon, Michael Dixon) Mike Anderson had been landing. Instead he was late to the party on Burks, and Colorado was able to get in early and keep him headed West on I-70.
After yesterday’s show I received an email from a Tiger fan that said Missouri doesn’t really produce that much talent, and keeping the Missouri kids home won’t be a major factor for Kim Anderson’s success at MU. Below is the list of players born in the state of Missouri that have scored at least one point in the NBA.
That’s 21 players that were good enough in college to make the NBA and get on the floor. Clearly there are varying levels of success from the players above, but they were all good enough to be NBA players.
Take a look. How many of them played for the Missouri Tigers? Only one… ONE! Kareem Rush is the only Missouri born player to stay home. That is the biggest problem for Missouri basketball. Why won’t Missouri kids play for Mizzou? This is a riddle that Kim Anderson, or anyone that takes the Missouri job must solve.
How would Brandon Rush and Tyler Hansbrough have looked playing on the same side of the floor in an inside/outside set? What about Bradley Beal and Otto Porter filling the lanes on a fast break at Mizzou Arena?
No doubt the Tigers will need more than just the NBA caliber talent at Missouri, but throw in Moore, Denmond, and Dixon with Porter and Beal and you get the idea. Drop in an out-of-stater like Kim English and you are dreaming of cutting down the nets in a football stadium.
Don’t Get Too Excited About Passing Numbers
This year there will be no new member of the Super Bowl Quarterback club and Russell Wilson and Tom Brady are already card-carrying members, but that’s not the only thing that is not changing about the Super Bowl QB. He’s not going to be dripping in gaudy passing statistics either, at least not by today’s standards.
Since the turn of the century (makes it sound like a longer amount of time) and Kurt Warner’s 41, not one Super Bowl winning QB has topped 40 TD passes in a season. NOT ONE! In fact not one has even reached 35 TD passes in their Super Bowl winning season.
Here is a look at the stats for the QB’s the season they won.
Kurt Warner '99
Trent Dilfer '00
Tom Brady '01
Brad Johnson '02
Tom Brady '03
Tom Brady '04
Peyton Manning '06
Eli Manning '07
Drew Brees '09
Aaron Rodgers '10
Eli Manning '11
Joe Flacco '12
Russell Wilson '13
Russell Wilson '14
Tom Brady '14
Look at the average for TD passes… 25. Then throw in the 3,526 yardage average and you start to think maybe the Chiefs can win a Super Bowl with Alex Smith. There seems to be a little “drive for show, put for dough” going on with the QB’s. For the most part the big statistical seasons seem to be something that is occurring more to mask other weaknesses during the regular season that can’t be covered up over the course of three of four playoff games.
Only three QB’s have won the Super Bowl while throwing for 4,000+ yards in a season and zero with 5,000 yards, which is becoming much more common place these days. However it should be pointed out, if the Pats win it this year it will be 4 of the last 9 seasons that the winning QB has topped 4,000 yards. Certainly we can see a trend beginning to develop.
After looking at these figures it is clear you don’t have to set records at QB to win the Super Bowl. It should give confidence to Chiefs fans that there is hope of winning it all with Alex Smith. However his numbers are going to have to get better. This year Smith threw for 3,265 yards with 18 TD’s and 6 INT’s, good for a rating of 93.4. If they can put some more talent around him at the skill positions, you can easily see those numbers rising to the average of the previous winners.
Soren Petro's ballot for the Associated Press college basketball poll, for the week of January 19, 20151. Kentucky2. Virginia3. Villanova4. Gonzaga5. Arizona6. Wisconsin7. Duke8. Louisville9. Utah10. Wichita St.11. North Carolina12. Notre Dame13. Maryland14. Iowa St.15. Kansas16. VCU17. Oklahoma18. Texas19. West Virginia20. Baylor21. Northern Iowa22. San Diego St.23. Iowa24. SMU25. Georgia 26. Ohio St.27. Washington28. Georgetown29. Oklahoma St.30. Indiana31. Arkansas32. Butler33. Seton Hall34. Xavier35. Michigan St.36. St. John’s37. Old Dominion38. Dayton39. Stanford40. South Carolina OTHERSConnecticutFloridaAlabamaCincinnatiBYUDavidsonNC St.WyomingProvidenceLSUSyracuse
By Soren Petro
9. Iowa St.
12. Ohio St.
13. Wichita St.
16. West Virginia
17. North Carolina
20. St. John’s
21. San Diego St.
23. Notre Dame
There are no games scheduled for today.